Okay, I freely admit I’m not the stats guru Cynwise is. Never have been, never likely gonna be. But I wanted to see where warrior representation at level 90 was as of March and patch 5.4.7, and it’s not really fair of me to go around basically whining and saying “Heyyyyy, Cynnnnn, do my work forrrr meee” so instead of that, I’m going to spend some time looking at the numbers myself.
There will be no spreadsheets. I know you love spreadsheets. But I’m just going to take a quick and dirty look at what Realmpop and World of Wargraphs have to say about warriors overall and at level 90, what the numbers are and aren’t. Right now, using the US population, Realmpop has warriors at 9.6% of the class population, but only 8.9% at level 90. This means that we’ve dropped again.
In patch 5.4.2 warriors were around 9.17% at level 90. Right now, the trends we saw before remain – fury warriors make up the majority of warriors in PvE, especially in heroic raiding (fury warriors, despite being the least played warrior spec overall at 90, make up 4.3% of raiding warriors in heroics according to World of Wargraphs) while arms, despite being the most played warrior spec, barely even makes an appearance in the same level of raiding. The arms warrior is 3.6% of the game, but 0.3% in heroic raiding. Arms’ numbers are of course buoyed up by its ridiculously high popularity in PvP. Realmpop unfortunately doesn’t report on specs, so we’re taking World of Wargraph’s percentages as accurate, and according to them, arms warriors are 3.6% of the level 90 players, but an astonishing 15.1% of 1800 or above PvPers.
This is all in line with what we were seeing, save for the dip in representation at 90, which I think is potentially explainable as people not leveling their warrior alts with the same fervor as other classes – it seems likely that if you were interested in leveling and playing your warrior, you already did, and those people with unleveled warrior alts are simply not bothering to level them. It’s troubling, to be sure.
Tanking representation is currently spread more evenly than before, with protection paladins and blood DK’s still the kings at 3.4% and 3.1%, respectively. (That number is actually not as good as we might expect for blood DK’s, who are over 4% of level 90’s) Protection warriors are an even 3% in heroic raiding and an overall 3.1% of level 90 players according to World of Wargraphs – compared to last August’s numbers, this is interesting because it means that there’s roughly a .5% increase in raids (prot warriors went from 2.5% to 3%) but a .4% drop in total representation at 90 for protection.
For those who are interested, guardian druids are in the old warrior slot of 2.5% of raiding despite only being 1.6% of the total 90 population, and brewmaster monks are at 2.1% of raiding and 1.5% of all 90’s. In general, while monk numbers have gone up they’re still the least played class, and druids have four specs to split among their 9.8% of the level 90 pie.
Those prot warriors that remain are getting to tank more (almost exclusively at the expense of tanking blood DK’s) but in general, there are less protection warriors in total. The only warrior spec that hasn’t lost much in terms of its slice of the total level 90 pie is arms, due to the PvP issue – in PvE, there are simply less warriors at 90, and less DPS warriors in raiding than there have been all expansion. Fury saw a drop, and arms barely exists in PvE.
In general, warrior numbers aren’t plummeting, they’re simply slowly declining. Whether it’s simply a stagnant pool of warrior players compared to other classes getting more attention as people start working on alts or an active migration away from the class is hard to determine from just these numbers. A year of continuous decline in representation, especially when classes like rogues and warlocks (generally seen as the least popular) have seen steady gains, doesn’t bode well for the health of the class going into Warlords of Draenor. I’m not thrilled about the decline in overall representation continuing into patch 5.4.7 like this – I’d hoped the slight bump from 5.4.2 would have continued.